In sprints for 2-year-olds at 6 furlongs or less, I always prefer the first-time starters to a well-bet favorite that has run before. In this race, #9 Catalina Fog was bet to 6/5 and almost hung on for the win, but 6/1 shot #8 It's Gotta Be Us rolled by him in late stretch. I had $200 on the winner, $200 on #4 Cach D Fish and $150 on #11 Chief Poniso.
Another note about this race, #4 Cach D Fish swerved at the beginning, rushed up on the backstretch and was blocked all the way to the wire. He was probably the best horse in the race, but had nowhere to go. Check it out on the replay (he's breaking from the 3 hole) and be sure to view the head on.
Total bet--$550
Total net--$1,010
Monthly win/loss--$3,310
Current bankroll--$55,010
Results
8 It's Gotta Be Us------$15.60 $6.40 $3.80
9 Catalina Fog-----------------$3.00 $2.60
2 Tahoe Kid--------------------------$4.40
Post time odds
2 Tahoe Kid 8.50
3 She Made Me Do It 39.20
4 Cach D Fish 4.00
5 Warren's Hotrod 28.80
6 Simply 48.50
7 He's a Handful 8.70
8 It's Gotta Be Us 6.80
9 Catalina Fog 1.30
10 Milwaukee Rocket 9.80
11 Chief Poniso 18.40
SCR - I Want My Money
Blog moved to www.maidenking.wordpress.com
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Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Results Del Mar Race 3 -- no action
Horses coming off layoffs in maiden turf routes are a profitable bet at times and I was waiting for #2 Cheryl's Surprise to come into the 5/2 to 7/1 range. But she went off at 10/1 then led the whole way.
I sat out and had no action.
Results
2 Cheryl's Surprise------$22.80 $8.40 $6.00
5 Alley Theater-----------------$10.00 $6.40
1 Love to Siphon-----------------------$3.20
Post time odds
1 Love to Siphon 2.50
2 Cheryl's Surprise 10.40
3 Usk Melody 30.90
4 Mohaka 7.40
5 Alley Theater 11.00
6 Keilly Belle 17.50
7 Ditto This 35.30
8 Humor Her Along 9.90
9 Sunny Peace 5.80
10 Precious Union 2.80
I sat out and had no action.
Results
2 Cheryl's Surprise------$22.80 $8.40 $6.00
5 Alley Theater-----------------$10.00 $6.40
1 Love to Siphon-----------------------$3.20
Post time odds
1 Love to Siphon 2.50
2 Cheryl's Surprise 10.40
3 Usk Melody 30.90
4 Mohaka 7.40
5 Alley Theater 11.00
6 Keilly Belle 17.50
7 Ditto This 35.30
8 Humor Her Along 9.90
9 Sunny Peace 5.80
10 Precious Union 2.80
Results Del Mar Race 2 -- won $720
Brite Ruler had a huge pace advantage over these horses. Jockey Rosario eased him to the lead and won comfortably while in front throughout.
I wrote that I would bet $300 on either #2 Brite Ruler or #7 Sunshine In whoever was the higher price, as long at they were at least 2/1. Sunshine In was pounded to 6/5, so it became an easy decision as Brite Ruler was double the price at nearly 5/2.
Total bet--$300
Total net--$720
Monthly win/loss--$2,300
Current bankroll--$54,000
Results
2 Brite Ruler------$6.80 $3.80 $3.00
1 Toppler----------------$5.80 $4.20
6 Warren's Cat Time------------$7.00
Post time odds
1 Toppler 5.60
2 Brite Ruler 2.40
3 Crown of Splendor 21.60
4 Verypq 13.30
5 Big Red Bean 35.70
6 Warren's Cat Time 18.40
7 Sunshine In 1.10
8 No Laughing Matter 10.10
I wrote that I would bet $300 on either #2 Brite Ruler or #7 Sunshine In whoever was the higher price, as long at they were at least 2/1. Sunshine In was pounded to 6/5, so it became an easy decision as Brite Ruler was double the price at nearly 5/2.
Total bet--$300
Total net--$720
Monthly win/loss--$2,300
Current bankroll--$54,000
Results
2 Brite Ruler------$6.80 $3.80 $3.00
1 Toppler----------------$5.80 $4.20
6 Warren's Cat Time------------$7.00
Post time odds
1 Toppler 5.60
2 Brite Ruler 2.40
3 Crown of Splendor 21.60
4 Verypq 13.30
5 Big Red Bean 35.70
6 Warren's Cat Time 18.40
7 Sunshine In 1.10
8 No Laughing Matter 10.10
Race 8 Del Mar -- MDN32K -- 5.5FS
Contenders--morning line
#2 Tahoe Kid--6/1
#3 She Made Me Do It--15/1
#4 Catch D Fish--6/1
#6 Simply--20/1
#8 It's Gotta Be Us-8/1
#9 Catalina Fog--2/1
#11 Chief Poniso--8/1
This 10-horse field includes six first-time starters and, although I wouldn't be too surprised to see #9 Catalina Fog win, I will try to beat the 2/1 favorite with the new blood.
Not many of these first starters have good workouts, but #4 Catch D Fish is the exception and therefore I will bet him at 7/2 to 19/1. Another that looks promising is #8 It's Gotta Be Us, who is an early foal. Also, trainer Doug O'Neill is 7/35, or 20 percent, when his 2-year-olds are starting first time in a maiden claiming race. Every $1 bet has returned $1.51 on this O'Neill angle.
On the site, I will bet $200 on #8 It's Gotta Be Us at 5/1 to 19/1, and $200 on #4 Catch D Fish at 7/2 to 19/1. Also, if the following horses are 10/1 to 19/1 then I will bet $150 on them: #2 Tahoe Kid, #3 She Made Me Do It, #6 Simply, #11 Chief Poniso.
#2 Tahoe Kid--6/1
#3 She Made Me Do It--15/1
#4 Catch D Fish--6/1
#6 Simply--20/1
#8 It's Gotta Be Us-8/1
#9 Catalina Fog--2/1
#11 Chief Poniso--8/1
This 10-horse field includes six first-time starters and, although I wouldn't be too surprised to see #9 Catalina Fog win, I will try to beat the 2/1 favorite with the new blood.
Not many of these first starters have good workouts, but #4 Catch D Fish is the exception and therefore I will bet him at 7/2 to 19/1. Another that looks promising is #8 It's Gotta Be Us, who is an early foal. Also, trainer Doug O'Neill is 7/35, or 20 percent, when his 2-year-olds are starting first time in a maiden claiming race. Every $1 bet has returned $1.51 on this O'Neill angle.
On the site, I will bet $200 on #8 It's Gotta Be Us at 5/1 to 19/1, and $200 on #4 Catch D Fish at 7/2 to 19/1. Also, if the following horses are 10/1 to 19/1 then I will bet $150 on them: #2 Tahoe Kid, #3 She Made Me Do It, #6 Simply, #11 Chief Poniso.
Race 3 Del Mar -- MSW -- 1 1/16 turf
Contenders--morning line
#2 Cheryl's Surprise--8/1
#3 Usk Melody--15/1
These two horses are not necessarily the only contenders, but they are the only horses I will consider betting in this race. A great value in these races are horses coming off layoffs, but the price must be right.
I will bet $200 on #2 Cheryl's Surprise and #3 Usk Melody only if they are 5/2 to 7/1.
#2 Cheryl's Surprise--8/1
#3 Usk Melody--15/1
These two horses are not necessarily the only contenders, but they are the only horses I will consider betting in this race. A great value in these races are horses coming off layoffs, but the price must be right.
I will bet $200 on #2 Cheryl's Surprise and #3 Usk Melody only if they are 5/2 to 7/1.
Race 2 Del Mar -- MDN25K -- 6.5FS
Contenders--morning line
#2 Brite Ruler--5/2
#7 Sunshine In--8/5
This looks like a two horse race with #2 Brite Ruler having all the speed and #7 Sunshine In possessing the best Beyer Speed Figures and closing kick. Brite Ruler is coming out of the same extremely fast June 21 race as A Lil Dumaani, who won a 40K maiden race on Monday.
Brite Ruler also stalked the fast pace on June 21 and weakened to finish just 2 1/2 lengths behind A Lil Dumaani.
The challenge here will be to get 2/1 on either #2 Brite Ruler or #7 Sunshine In. If either of them do go off at 2/1 or better, then I will bet $300 on that horse. And if somehow both are 2/1 or more then I will bet that amount on the longer of the two.
#2 Brite Ruler--5/2
#7 Sunshine In--8/5
This looks like a two horse race with #2 Brite Ruler having all the speed and #7 Sunshine In possessing the best Beyer Speed Figures and closing kick. Brite Ruler is coming out of the same extremely fast June 21 race as A Lil Dumaani, who won a 40K maiden race on Monday.
Brite Ruler also stalked the fast pace on June 21 and weakened to finish just 2 1/2 lengths behind A Lil Dumaani.
The challenge here will be to get 2/1 on either #2 Brite Ruler or #7 Sunshine In. If either of them do go off at 2/1 or better, then I will bet $300 on that horse. And if somehow both are 2/1 or more then I will bet that amount on the longer of the two.
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Results Race 2 -- Del Mar -- lost $500
Halo's Clean Sheet, #1, looked like the better bet when compared with #2 Flashing Forward, but she swerved left at the break and was quickly 10 lengths behind the others. Halo's Clean Sheet did well to be involved in a photo for second. My other bet, the Carla Gaines-trained second timer #6 Stuttgart, broke in the middle of the pack and never threatened.
Total bet--$500
Total net--($500)
Monthly bankroll--$1,580
Current bankroll--$53,280
Results
7 Rare Ribbon------$6.80 $3.20 $2.40
2 Flashing Forward--------$3.00 $2.40
1 Halo's Clean Sheet-----------$2.60
Post time odds
1 Halo's Clean Sheet 3.30
2 Flashing Forward 2.00
3 Saint's Crown 12.40
5 My Lucky Stars 10.60
6 Stuttgart 4.80
7 Rare Ribbon 2.40
SCR - It'sallinthegenes
Total bet--$500
Total net--($500)
Monthly bankroll--$1,580
Current bankroll--$53,280
Results
7 Rare Ribbon------$6.80 $3.20 $2.40
2 Flashing Forward--------$3.00 $2.40
1 Halo's Clean Sheet-----------$2.60
Post time odds
1 Halo's Clean Sheet 3.30
2 Flashing Forward 2.00
3 Saint's Crown 12.40
5 My Lucky Stars 10.60
6 Stuttgart 4.80
7 Rare Ribbon 2.40
SCR - It'sallinthegenes
Results Race 5 Del Mar -- won $1,320
A Lil Dumaani, #3, ran a few lengths off the pace then surged to the lead in the stretch and won without a fight. Because the Barry Abrams-trained horse Hy Temp was scratched, the only bet I had was for $400 on the winner.
Total bet--$400
Total net--$1,320
Monthly bankroll--$2,080
Current bankroll--$53,780
Results
3 A Lil Dumaani----------$8.60 $5.00 $3.20
1 Camo-------------------------$6.40 $4.20
7 I Am Game--------------------------$3.00
Post time odds
1 Camo 5.00
2 Coolerator 8.30
3 A Lil Dumaani 3.30
4 One Hot Storm 13.90
5 Patriate 30.40
6 Tigley 2.90
7 I Am Game 3.00
9 Warrington 11.20
SCR - Hy Temp
Total bet--$400
Total net--$1,320
Monthly bankroll--$2,080
Current bankroll--$53,780
Results
3 A Lil Dumaani----------$8.60 $5.00 $3.20
1 Camo-------------------------$6.40 $4.20
7 I Am Game--------------------------$3.00
Post time odds
1 Camo 5.00
2 Coolerator 8.30
3 A Lil Dumaani 3.30
4 One Hot Storm 13.90
5 Patriate 30.40
6 Tigley 2.90
7 I Am Game 3.00
9 Warrington 11.20
SCR - Hy Temp
Monday, July 28, 2008
Race 2 Del Mar -- MDN50K -- 6.5FS
Contenders--morning line
#1 Halo's Clean Sheet--3/1
#2 Flashing Forward--5/2
#3 Saint's Crown--5/1
#6 Stuttgart--5/1
Breaking from the rail, #1 Halo's Clean Sheet fits the profile of the type of horses that win 6 1/2 and 7 furlong races, and #2 Flashing Forward would also fit the profile if she didn't go three-to-four paths wide on the turn June 22.
The Jack Carava-trained #3 Saints Crown is running back for the second time off a 17-month layoff and she has positive betting angles at 2/1 to 4/1. Second-time starter #6 Stuttgart was checked at the break last time, in what might have been a practice race, but she moved well when asked to run. Gaines wins at a high percentage when her horses are making their second lifetime start and this one is adding blinkers.
I will bet $300 on whoever is longer between #1 Halo's Clean Sheet and #2 Flashing Forward. If #3 Saint's Crown is between 2/1 and 4/1, then I will bet $250 on her, but if not, I will bet $200 on #6 Stuttgart.
#1 Halo's Clean Sheet--3/1
#2 Flashing Forward--5/2
#3 Saint's Crown--5/1
#6 Stuttgart--5/1
Breaking from the rail, #1 Halo's Clean Sheet fits the profile of the type of horses that win 6 1/2 and 7 furlong races, and #2 Flashing Forward would also fit the profile if she didn't go three-to-four paths wide on the turn June 22.
The Jack Carava-trained #3 Saints Crown is running back for the second time off a 17-month layoff and she has positive betting angles at 2/1 to 4/1. Second-time starter #6 Stuttgart was checked at the break last time, in what might have been a practice race, but she moved well when asked to run. Gaines wins at a high percentage when her horses are making their second lifetime start and this one is adding blinkers.
I will bet $300 on whoever is longer between #1 Halo's Clean Sheet and #2 Flashing Forward. If #3 Saint's Crown is between 2/1 and 4/1, then I will bet $250 on her, but if not, I will bet $200 on #6 Stuttgart.
Race 5 Del Mar -- MDN40K -- 6FS
Contenders--morning line
#1 Camo--6/1
#3 A Lil Dumaani--9/2
#5 Patriate--12/1
#8 Hy Temp--6/1
#7 I Am Game--7/2
In his June 21 race, #3 A Lil Dumaani posted an extremely fast second quarter mile while chasing a loose on the lead winner. He looks like he'll be close to the lead today and stands a good chance for the win.
The Barry Abrams-trained #8 Hy Temp was blocked in the stretched while trying to rally on the turf back in October 2007. He's been off since then, but this is the type of horse the public doesn't like to bet and they win more than their fair share.
In fact, horses like Hy Temp are 21/68 for 31 percent with $1 returning $1.75, while the trainer is 2/4 with maiden layoff types. Also, a horse that fit the angle won the last race on Sunday, paying $11.60.
I will wager $400 on #3 A Lil Dumaani and $300 on #8 Hy Temp, both at odds of at least 2/1.
#1 Camo--6/1
#3 A Lil Dumaani--9/2
#5 Patriate--12/1
#8 Hy Temp--6/1
#7 I Am Game--7/2
In his June 21 race, #3 A Lil Dumaani posted an extremely fast second quarter mile while chasing a loose on the lead winner. He looks like he'll be close to the lead today and stands a good chance for the win.
The Barry Abrams-trained #8 Hy Temp was blocked in the stretched while trying to rally on the turf back in October 2007. He's been off since then, but this is the type of horse the public doesn't like to bet and they win more than their fair share.
In fact, horses like Hy Temp are 21/68 for 31 percent with $1 returning $1.75, while the trainer is 2/4 with maiden layoff types. Also, a horse that fit the angle won the last race on Sunday, paying $11.60.
I will wager $400 on #3 A Lil Dumaani and $300 on #8 Hy Temp, both at odds of at least 2/1.
Results Race 10 Del Mar -- lost $750
I put $750 on #11 Stag on the Run, but he was never in the race. The favorite, #9 Lotacat, made an OK move on the outside, but never threatened for the win. I needed at least 2/1 on him for a bet, however he went off at 3/2.
Total bet--$750
Total net--($750)
Monthly bankroll--$760
Current bankroll--$52,460
Results
1 Gold Star Status---------$49.00 $21.80 $8.60
13 Tizsong----------------------- $7.00 $4.20
9 Lotacat--------------------------------$2.40
Post time odds
1 Gold Star Status 23.50
4 Sir Carson 26.60
5 Woodman's Hope 19.00
6 Beau's Message 40.20
7 Peace Prospect 11.10
8 Texas Devil 7.10
9 Lotacat 1.50
10 Thunder Alliance 39.80
11 Stag On the Run 4.30
12 Norco Pal 13.10
13 Tizsong 5.50
SCR - Geauxforthedeaux
SCR - Crown of Splendor
SCR - Cat Report
Total bet--$750
Total net--($750)
Monthly bankroll--$760
Current bankroll--$52,460
Results
1 Gold Star Status---------$49.00 $21.80 $8.60
13 Tizsong----------------------- $7.00 $4.20
9 Lotacat--------------------------------$2.40
Post time odds
1 Gold Star Status 23.50
4 Sir Carson 26.60
5 Woodman's Hope 19.00
6 Beau's Message 40.20
7 Peace Prospect 11.10
8 Texas Devil 7.10
9 Lotacat 1.50
10 Thunder Alliance 39.80
11 Stag On the Run 4.30
12 Norco Pal 13.10
13 Tizsong 5.50
SCR - Geauxforthedeaux
SCR - Crown of Splendor
SCR - Cat Report
Results Del Mar Race 7 -- lost $200
Although Baffert first-time starter #11 Pick to Click didn't run at all, early speed horses #9 Charlie's Moment and #1 Empire House both ran huge at big odds. Charlie's Moment nosed favorite #2 Street Hero on the wire, but I did not bet him because his odds eased over the range in the final minute.
I lost $200 on #11 Pick to Click.
Total bet--$200
Total net--($200)
Monthly bankroll--$1,510
Current bankroll--$53,210
Results
9 Charlie's Moment--------$44.20 $18.40 $13.00
2 Street Hero--------------------$5.00 $4.00
1 Empire House--------------------------$19.60
Post time odds
1 Empire House 41.30
2 Street Hero 2.90
3 Fassnacht 10.70
4 Kerwin's Way 55.10
5 Only Be Cause 44.40
6 Speight the Halo 1.50
7 Chocolate Candy 9.40
8 Luckiest Man 38.60
9 Charlie's Moment 21.10
10 Massone 6.50
11 Pick to Click 13.50
12 Say It Again 61.00
I lost $200 on #11 Pick to Click.
Total bet--$200
Total net--($200)
Monthly bankroll--$1,510
Current bankroll--$53,210
Results
9 Charlie's Moment--------$44.20 $18.40 $13.00
2 Street Hero--------------------$5.00 $4.00
1 Empire House--------------------------$19.60
Post time odds
1 Empire House 41.30
2 Street Hero 2.90
3 Fassnacht 10.70
4 Kerwin's Way 55.10
5 Only Be Cause 44.40
6 Speight the Halo 1.50
7 Chocolate Candy 9.40
8 Luckiest Man 38.60
9 Charlie's Moment 21.10
10 Massone 6.50
11 Pick to Click 13.50
12 Say It Again 61.00
Saturday, July 26, 2008
Race 10 Del Mar -- MDN25K -- 6.5Fs
Contenders--morning line
#3 Geauxforthedeaux--9/2
#9 Lotacat-7/2
#11 Stag On the Run--5/1
The speed of the race is #11 Stag On the Run, but I think he'll have a tough time holding off the late charge of #9 Lotacat, who has run a few races that would win this thing.
I will put $1,000 on #9 Lotacat at 2/1 or more and $750 on #11 Stag On the Run.
#3 Geauxforthedeaux--9/2
#9 Lotacat-7/2
#11 Stag On the Run--5/1
The speed of the race is #11 Stag On the Run, but I think he'll have a tough time holding off the late charge of #9 Lotacat, who has run a few races that would win this thing.
I will put $1,000 on #9 Lotacat at 2/1 or more and $750 on #11 Stag On the Run.
Race 7 Del Mar -- MSW -- 6Fs
Contenders--morning line
#1 Empire House--20/1
#6 Speight the Halo--2/1
#8 Luckiest Man--20/1
#9 Charlie's Moment--15/1
#10 Massone--6/1
#11 Pick to Click--12/1
Speed horses #1 Empire House and #9 Charlie's Moment are worth a token wager at high odds. The best bet in here is #11 Pick to Click, a Bob Baffert-trained first time starter. He's an early foal and has had four good workouts. Good angles on this horse from 7/2 up to 19/1.
I will bet $300 on #11 Pick to Click from 3/1 to 9/1, but only $200 on him at 10/1 to 19/1. Also, I will put $150 on #8 Luckiest Man if he falls into the 10/1 to 19/1 odds range. Finally, I will take $50 to win on #1 Empire House if less than 20/1 and the same on #9 Charlie's Moment at 20/1 or less.
#1 Empire House--20/1
#6 Speight the Halo--2/1
#8 Luckiest Man--20/1
#9 Charlie's Moment--15/1
#10 Massone--6/1
#11 Pick to Click--12/1
Speed horses #1 Empire House and #9 Charlie's Moment are worth a token wager at high odds. The best bet in here is #11 Pick to Click, a Bob Baffert-trained first time starter. He's an early foal and has had four good workouts. Good angles on this horse from 7/2 up to 19/1.
I will bet $300 on #11 Pick to Click from 3/1 to 9/1, but only $200 on him at 10/1 to 19/1. Also, I will put $150 on #8 Luckiest Man if he falls into the 10/1 to 19/1 odds range. Finally, I will take $50 to win on #1 Empire House if less than 20/1 and the same on #9 Charlie's Moment at 20/1 or less.
Friday, July 25, 2008
Results Del Mar Race 5 -- lost $250
The odds on four of the first-time starters I was looking at did not fall into my bettable range of 10/1 to 19/1. After #4 Jet Set Lass was scratched, I only wagered on #2 Alex B. Good and that $250 was lost when she didn't run well.
Total bet--$250
Total net--($250)
Monthly bankroll--$1,710
Current bankroll--$53,410
Results
3 Tammy's Luck----------$18.80 $7.00 $4.60
7 Victory Dancer-------------- $3.00 $2.40
6 One Perfect Karat------------------$4.00
Post time odds
1 Chilliwack 6.40
2 Alex B. Good 27.40
3 Tammy's Luck 8.40
6 One Perfect Karat 6.70
7 Victory Dancer 1.10
8 Keep Active 4.40
9 Rusalka 9.60
11 Boehle 59.00
12 Costa Marta 34.50
SCR - #5 Princess Suances
SCR - #10 No Due Diligence
SCR - #4 Jet Set Lass
Total bet--$250
Total net--($250)
Monthly bankroll--$1,710
Current bankroll--$53,410
Results
3 Tammy's Luck----------$18.80 $7.00 $4.60
7 Victory Dancer-------------- $3.00 $2.40
6 One Perfect Karat------------------$4.00
Post time odds
1 Chilliwack 6.40
2 Alex B. Good 27.40
3 Tammy's Luck 8.40
6 One Perfect Karat 6.70
7 Victory Dancer 1.10
8 Keep Active 4.40
9 Rusalka 9.60
11 Boehle 59.00
12 Costa Marta 34.50
SCR - #5 Princess Suances
SCR - #10 No Due Diligence
SCR - #4 Jet Set Lass
Results Del Mar Race 3 -- won $1,010
Trainer Clifford Sise had Dashwood ready to roll as the 2-year-old colt came out of the gate running and hung on by an neck. Of the other four first-time starters that I was considering, only #7 Mickey Rocks went off between 10/1 and 19/1 and speedball Sherry's Reddy, #4, was scratched. So that left me with a $200 bet on #5 Dashwood and $150 to win on #7 Mickey Rocks.
Total bet--$350
Total net--$1,010
Monthly bankroll--$1,960
Current bankroll--$53,660
Results
5 Dashwood-----------$13.60 $5.20 $3.80
2 Got Alot Going------------$3.20 $2.60
10 Aquicksting--------------------$5.00
Post time odds
1 Uintah 21.60
2 Got Alot Going 1.80
3 Rochelle's Jimmy 33.60
5 Dashwood 5.80
6 Celestial Topper 7.20
7 Mickey Rocks 18.40
8 Kitty Caliente 2.20
9 Warrens Mr Boswell 30.40
10 Aquicksting 9.90
SCR - Sherry's Reddy
Total bet--$350
Total net--$1,010
Monthly bankroll--$1,960
Current bankroll--$53,660
Results
5 Dashwood-----------$13.60 $5.20 $3.80
2 Got Alot Going------------$3.20 $2.60
10 Aquicksting--------------------$5.00
Post time odds
1 Uintah 21.60
2 Got Alot Going 1.80
3 Rochelle's Jimmy 33.60
5 Dashwood 5.80
6 Celestial Topper 7.20
7 Mickey Rocks 18.40
8 Kitty Caliente 2.20
9 Warrens Mr Boswell 30.40
10 Aquicksting 9.90
SCR - Sherry's Reddy
Race 5 Del Mar -- MSW -- 5.5Fs
Contenders-morning line
#1 Chilliwack--9/2
#2 Alex B. Good--10/1
#3 Tammy's Luck--10/1
#4 Jet Set Lass--12/1
#6 One Perfect Karat--6/1
#7 Victory Dancer--5/2
#8 Keep Active--6/1
#11 Boehle--20/1
#12 Costa Marta--12/1
In this race, second-time starter #2 Alex B. Good showed excellent speed on June 29 and is bettable. The best wager of the five first-time starters in the race is #12 Costa Marta who is an early foal being trained by Marty Jones.
I'll bet $250 on #2 Alex B. Good at 3/1 or more and $300 on #12 Costa Marta only if 10/1 to 19/1. Also, I'll bet $100 on any of these horses only if they fall into the 10/1 to 19/1 range: #4 Jet Set Lass, #6 One Perfect Karat, #8 Keep Active and #11 Boehle.
#1 Chilliwack--9/2
#2 Alex B. Good--10/1
#3 Tammy's Luck--10/1
#4 Jet Set Lass--12/1
#6 One Perfect Karat--6/1
#7 Victory Dancer--5/2
#8 Keep Active--6/1
#11 Boehle--20/1
#12 Costa Marta--12/1
In this race, second-time starter #2 Alex B. Good showed excellent speed on June 29 and is bettable. The best wager of the five first-time starters in the race is #12 Costa Marta who is an early foal being trained by Marty Jones.
I'll bet $250 on #2 Alex B. Good at 3/1 or more and $300 on #12 Costa Marta only if 10/1 to 19/1. Also, I'll bet $100 on any of these horses only if they fall into the 10/1 to 19/1 range: #4 Jet Set Lass, #6 One Perfect Karat, #8 Keep Active and #11 Boehle.
Race 3 Del Mar -- MDN40K -- 5.5Fs
Contenders--morning line
#1 Uintah--20/1
#2 Got Alot Going--9/2
#3 Rochelle's Jimmy--15/1
#4 Sherry's Reddy--5/1
#5 Dashwood--5/1
#6 Celestial Topper--5/1
#7 Mickey Rocks--10/1
Five first-time starters are going in here and none of them look like particularly strong bets, but one may win at a good price nevertheless.
Martin Wygod owns #5 Dashwood and he's trained by probably the cagiest trainer on the grounds in Clifford Sise, who can work them out slow and run them fast. Wygod likes to win second time, but if this first-timer is 5/1 or more he's probably worth a small wager.
The quickest of the horses who have run looks like #4 Sherry's Reddy, who I'll bet at 3/1 or more.
I'll bet $150 to win on the following horses only if they fall into the 10/1 to 19/1 range: #1 Uintah, #3 Rochelle's Jimmy, #6 Celestial Topper, and #7 Mickey Rocks. Also, I'll put $200 on #5 Dashwood at 5/1 or more and $200 on #4 Sherry's Reddy at 3/1 or greater.
#1 Uintah--20/1
#2 Got Alot Going--9/2
#3 Rochelle's Jimmy--15/1
#4 Sherry's Reddy--5/1
#5 Dashwood--5/1
#6 Celestial Topper--5/1
#7 Mickey Rocks--10/1
Five first-time starters are going in here and none of them look like particularly strong bets, but one may win at a good price nevertheless.
Martin Wygod owns #5 Dashwood and he's trained by probably the cagiest trainer on the grounds in Clifford Sise, who can work them out slow and run them fast. Wygod likes to win second time, but if this first-timer is 5/1 or more he's probably worth a small wager.
The quickest of the horses who have run looks like #4 Sherry's Reddy, who I'll bet at 3/1 or more.
I'll bet $150 to win on the following horses only if they fall into the 10/1 to 19/1 range: #1 Uintah, #3 Rochelle's Jimmy, #6 Celestial Topper, and #7 Mickey Rocks. Also, I'll put $200 on #5 Dashwood at 5/1 or more and $200 on #4 Sherry's Reddy at 3/1 or greater.
Sunday, July 20, 2008
Results Race 9 Del Mar -- won $4,700
This was a case of two horses who had very similar pace ratings. But #2 Elusive Destiny was 6/5 because he had 73 and 75 Beyer numbers earned in 6.5 furlong races, while #3 Special Grey Ghost form was a bit hidden as he ran Beyers of 65 and 68 in 6F and 5.5F races while presssing the pace in his most recent and coming from the back in his third race back.
The plan was to bet $1,000 on whoever was longer and #3 Special Grey Ghost got the nod.
Total bet--$1,000
Total net--$4,700
Monthly bankroll--$950
Current bankroll--$52,650
Results
3 Special Grey Ghost------$11.40 $5.60 $4.00
10 Quite the Man-----------------$5.80 $4.40
5 Benny's Benchmark--------------------$9.80
Post time odds
1 Limited Profit 15.00
2 Elusive Destiny 1.10
3 Special Grey Ghost 4.70
5 Benny's Benchmark 32.60
6 Looking At You 31.50
7 Baby Gotham 7.30
8 Brinson 44.50
9 Happy Prayer 8.90
10 Quite the Man 4.90
SCR - Cadeaux du Monde
The plan was to bet $1,000 on whoever was longer and #3 Special Grey Ghost got the nod.
Total bet--$1,000
Total net--$4,700
Monthly bankroll--$950
Current bankroll--$52,650
Results
3 Special Grey Ghost------$11.40 $5.60 $4.00
10 Quite the Man-----------------$5.80 $4.40
5 Benny's Benchmark--------------------$9.80
Post time odds
1 Limited Profit 15.00
2 Elusive Destiny 1.10
3 Special Grey Ghost 4.70
5 Benny's Benchmark 32.60
6 Looking At You 31.50
7 Baby Gotham 7.30
8 Brinson 44.50
9 Happy Prayer 8.90
10 Quite the Man 4.90
SCR - Cadeaux du Monde
Results Race 4 Del Mar -- lost $600
Surprisingly, I ended up betting only two horses in this race because three of the first timers that I liked drifted above the 20/1 betting zone. In the end, I put $350 on #9 Kinesiology and $250 on #7 Lippy Rules, who was in contention until the top of the stretch.
Total bet--$600
Total net--($600)
Monthly bankroll--($3,750)
Current bankroll--$47,950
Results
1 Turtle Creek Babe-------$16.80 $7.00 $4.00
2 Stardom Bound------------------$6.20 $3.40
10 Montana Fields----------------------$2.60
Post time odds
1 Turtle Creek Babe 7.40
2 Stardom Bound 4.30
3 Rising Honour 32.50
4 Oro Blanco 9
5 Irish Gypsy 3.90
6 Bujumbura 32.10
7 Lippy Rules 7.90
8 Madeline Ruby 43.60
9 Kinesiology 16.50
10 Montana Fields 1.40
Total bet--$600
Total net--($600)
Monthly bankroll--($3,750)
Current bankroll--$47,950
Results
1 Turtle Creek Babe-------$16.80 $7.00 $4.00
2 Stardom Bound------------------$6.20 $3.40
10 Montana Fields----------------------$2.60
Post time odds
1 Turtle Creek Babe 7.40
2 Stardom Bound 4.30
3 Rising Honour 32.50
4 Oro Blanco 9
5 Irish Gypsy 3.90
6 Bujumbura 32.10
7 Lippy Rules 7.90
8 Madeline Ruby 43.60
9 Kinesiology 16.50
10 Montana Fields 1.40
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