Maiden King

I research and bet Southern California maiden races. On June 25, 2008, I started with an imaginary bankroll of $50,000 and I'm trying to bet my way to $100,000 by June 25, 2009.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Back to the lab

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Fairplex starts on Friday, but instead of making picks, I will use the time to catch up on research so I'm ready for Oak Tree.
1 comment:

Results -- Del Mar Race 10 -- lost $500

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Had $500 riding on #4 She's Cheeky who finished second, but never threatened for the win as #3 Inspired Storm dominated after coming bac...

Results -- Del Mar Race 9 -- won $4,410

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In the Del Mar Futurity, jockey Tyler Baze found a lane on the backstretch where he kept Midshipman out of traffic trouble, although Baze wa...
Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Race 10 Del Mar -- MSW -- 6.5 Fs

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Contenders--morning line #4 She's Cheeky--7/2 #9 Madame Striker--9/2 Starting for the fifth time, #4 She's Cheeky looks like a horse...

Race 9 Del Mar -- Del Mar Futurity -- 7Fs

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Contenders--morning line #3 Midshipman--3/1 #2 Southern Exchange--7/2 Trainer Bob Baffert has #3 Midshipman in this 11-horse field and his r...

Results -- Del Mar -- Race 4 -- lost $200

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Ended up betting just two horses -- #6 When We Met and #8 Dos and Don'ts -- at $100 each on this Aug. 24 race as I couldn't get the ...

Results -- Del Mar Race 2 -- lost $600

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In this Aug. 24 race, I lost $600 on #2 Internallyflawless who kept up with Midshipman during a workout, but couldn't match him in this ...
Sunday, August 24, 2008

Race 4 Del Mar -- MSW -- 2 yos -- 6Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Majormotionpicture--4/1 #4 African Diamond--12/1 #6 When We Met--12/1 #7 Restless Feet--20/1 #8 Dos and Don'...

Race 2 Del Mar -- MSW -- 2 yo -- 6Fs

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Contenders--morning line #2 Internallyflawless--7/2 #4 Red White and Brew--9/2 #1 Box Office Queen--15/1 #7 Hot Summer Breeze--8/1 #11 Canta...
Sunday, August 17, 2008

Results Race 6 Del Mar -- won $1,985

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On the turn, #1 Street Hero, who the public bet to 4/5, made a huge move up the rail, but #9 Midshipman rallied four wide and ran him down i...

Race 6 Del Mar -- MSW -- 2 yo -- 6Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Street Hero--5/2 #2 Invisible Edge--20/1 #3 Launch the Bull--7/2 #4 Raikkonen--5/1 #5 Nochangenweather--8/1 #6 O...

Results Del Mar Race 8 -- lost $750

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Had a five-horse set going for me in this race, but none of them could get the job done. Total bet--$750 Total net--($750) Monthly win/loss-...
Thursday, August 7, 2008

Race 8 Del Mar -- MDN40K -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Pemba At U.T.K.--20/1 #2 Tom Quinn--8/1 #3 Speaking--8/1 #5 Coastal Souvenir--5/1 #6 Brave Justice--7/2 #7 Reel ...
Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Results Del Mar Race 3 -- lost $950

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Second-time starter Brinson woke up and ran a great race while #1 Little Dude, for some reason, went to the lead for the first time in his l...
Monday, August 4, 2008

Race 3 Del Mar -- MDN32k -- 6.5FS

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Contenders--morning line #1 Little Dude--3/1 #3 Dark Hawk--8/1 #4 Benny's Benchmark--6/1 #6 Son of Pegasus--5/2 #7 Mystification--6/1 #8...
Sunday, August 3, 2008

Race 10 Del Mar -- No action

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None of the four horses I was looking at went off at proper betting odds, so I didn't bet anything. However, one of them won and paid 7/...

Results Del Mar Race 7 -- won $2,090

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I ended up with seven runners going for me in this contentious 12-horse race, as many went off at odds between 5/1 and 19/1. However, I weig...

Results Del Mar race 5--lost $250

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Only horse of the three possibilities who fell into the 5/2 to 7/1 odds range was #4 Dollar Mountain, who ran well but didn't have anoth...

Results Race 2 Del Mar -- lost $600

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Bet a total of $600 on a speed horse and two others that I considered overlays. But none of them fired. Total bet--$600 Total net--($600) Mo...
Saturday, August 2, 2008

Race 10 Del Mar -- MSW -- 1 1/16 Turf

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Contenders--morning line #1 Youthful Ambition--6/1 #8 Magna Cum Laude--12/1 #9 Chanjo--2/1 #10 Royal Albert--12/1 Three of these horses are ...

Race 7 Del Mar -- MSW -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #2 Launch the Bull--10/1 #3 Believe in Hope--12/1 #4 Azooz--20/1 #1 Gato Go Win--6/1 #5 Crazy Cash--20/1 #6 Fiery R...

Race 5 Del Mar -- MSW -- 1 1/16 Turf

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Contenders--morning line #4 Dollar Mountain--4/1 #7 Educated Risk--15/1 #8 Turn to the King--8/1 On any of these three horses, who have rece...

Race 2 Del Mar -- MDN25K -- 6Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Mark of a Pirate--20/1 #3 Afleet's Design--3/1 #5 Highly Unusual--5/1 #7 Storm Central--4/1 #8 Phantom North...
Friday, August 1, 2008

Results Del Mar Race 5 -- won $3,420

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Coming into the race, Rafael Bejarano was three-for-three when riding first-time starters for trainer Doug O'Neill and he didn't dis...

Results Del Mar Race 3 -- lost $900

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Spread $900 over three horses, but was beaten by low-priced contender #3 The Bat Signal. The winner had run #6 Mr. Rod into the ground on Ju...

Race 5 Del Mar -- MSW -- 6 Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Johnny Be Bad--8/1 #3 Cookin Expresso--4/1 #4 All Saint--20/1 #5 Escalon--8/1 #6 Tap Tap I Win--10/1 #8 Cold Sur...

Race 3 Del Mar -- MDN80K -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Star Redeemer--8/1 #2 Yonkers Joe--4/1 #3 The Bat Signal--3/1 #4 African Diamond--10/1 #6 Mr. Rod--7/2 On July 1...
Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Results Race 8 Del Mar -- won $1,010

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In sprints for 2-year-olds at 6 furlongs or less, I always prefer the first-time starters to a well-bet favorite that has run before. In thi...

Results Del Mar Race 3 -- no action

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Horses coming off layoffs in maiden turf routes are a profitable bet at times and I was waiting for #2 Cheryl's Surprise to come into th...

Results Del Mar Race 2 -- won $720

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Brite Ruler had a huge pace advantage over these horses. Jockey Rosario eased him to the lead and won comfortably while in front throughout....

Race 8 Del Mar -- MDN32K -- 5.5FS

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Contenders--morning line #2 Tahoe Kid--6/1 #3 She Made Me Do It--15/1 #4 Catch D Fish--6/1 #6 Simply--20/1 #8 It's Gotta Be Us-8/1 #9 Ca...

Race 3 Del Mar -- MSW -- 1 1/16 turf

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Contenders--morning line #2 Cheryl's Surprise--8/1 #3 Usk Melody--15/1 These two horses are not necessarily the only contenders, but the...

Race 2 Del Mar -- MDN25K -- 6.5FS

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Contenders--morning line #2 Brite Ruler--5/2 #7 Sunshine In--8/5 This looks like a two horse race with #2 Brite Ruler having all the speed a...
Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Results Race 2 -- Del Mar -- lost $500

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Halo's Clean Sheet, #1, looked like the better bet when compared with #2 Flashing Forward, but she swerved left at the break and was qui...

Results Race 5 Del Mar -- won $1,320

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A Lil Dumaani, #3, ran a few lengths off the pace then surged to the lead in the stretch and won without a fight. Because the Barry Abrams-t...
Monday, July 28, 2008

Race 2 Del Mar -- MDN50K -- 6.5FS

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Contenders--morning line #1 Halo's Clean Sheet--3/1 #2 Flashing Forward--5/2 #3 Saint's Crown--5/1 #6 Stuttgart--5/1 Breaking from t...

Race 5 Del Mar -- MDN40K -- 6FS

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Contenders--morning line #1 Camo--6/1 #3 A Lil Dumaani--9/2 #5 Patriate--12/1 #8 Hy Temp--6/1 #7 I Am Game--7/2 In his June 21 race, #3 A Li...

Results Race 10 Del Mar -- lost $750

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I put $750 on #11 Stag on the Run, but he was never in the race. The favorite, #9 Lotacat, made an OK move on the outside, but never threate...

Results Del Mar Race 7 -- lost $200

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Although Baffert first-time starter #11 Pick to Click didn't run at all, early speed horses #9 Charlie's Moment and #1 Empire House ...
Saturday, July 26, 2008

Race 10 Del Mar -- MDN25K -- 6.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #3 Geauxforthedeaux--9/2 #9 Lotacat-7/2 #11 Stag On the Run--5/1 The speed of the race is #11 Stag On the Run, but ...

Race 7 Del Mar -- MSW -- 6Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Empire House--20/1 #6 Speight the Halo--2/1 #8 Luckiest Man--20/1 #9 Charlie's Moment--15/1 #10 Massone--6/1...
Friday, July 25, 2008

Results Del Mar Race 5 -- lost $250

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The odds on four of the first-time starters I was looking at did not fall into my bettable range of 10/1 to 19/1. After #4 Jet Set Lass was ...

Results Del Mar Race 3 -- won $1,010

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Trainer Clifford Sise had Dashwood ready to roll as the 2-year-old colt came out of the gate running and hung on by an neck. Of the other fo...

Race 5 Del Mar -- MSW -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders-morning line #1 Chilliwack--9/2 #2 Alex B. Good--10/1 #3 Tammy's Luck--10/1 #4 Jet Set Lass--12/1 #6 One Perfect Karat--6/1 #...

Race 3 Del Mar -- MDN40K -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #1 Uintah--20/1 #2 Got Alot Going--9/2 #3 Rochelle's Jimmy--15/1 #4 Sherry's Reddy--5/1 #5 Dashwood--5/1 #6...
Sunday, July 20, 2008

Results Race 9 Del Mar -- won $4,700

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This was a case of two horses who had very similar pace ratings. But #2 Elusive Destiny was 6/5 because he had 73 and 75 Beyer numbers earne...

Results Race 4 Del Mar -- lost $600

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Surprisingly, I ended up betting only two horses in this race because three of the first timers that I liked drifted above the 20/1 betting ...

Result Race 3 Del Mar -- lost $1,600

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Legend of My Own, trained by Jeff Mullins, was one of my main choices based on the good race he ran last time while encountering trouble. I ...

Results Race 1 Del Mar -- no action

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After two of #9 Russian Liquor's main contenders -- #3 Son of Dionisi and #4 Sin City Glow -- were scratched, Russian Liquor had a walk ...

Race 9 Del Mar -- MDN 25K -- 7Fs

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Contenders--morning line #2 Elusive Destiny--2/1 #3 Special Grey Ghost--3/1 Either of these two horses looks good, but going by the morning ...

Race 4 Del Mar -- 5.5Fs -- MSW

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Contenders--morning line #2 Stardom Bound--3/1 #3 Rising Honour--12/1 #4 Oro Blanco--20/1 #5 Irish Gypsy--4/1 #6 Bujumbura--12/1 #7 Lippy Ru...

Race 3 Del Mar -- MSW -- 6.5Fs

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Contenders--morning line #5 One Chin Again--7/2 #7 Legend of My Own--6/1 #8 Major Smoke--4/1 #9 Draft Choice--5/2 The speed of the race is #...

Race 1 Del Mar -- MDN 25K -- 7Fs -- 3+

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Contenders--morning line #3 Son of Dionisi--4/1 #4 Sin City Glow--9/2 #9 Russian Liquor--7/2 #7 Athenry--5/2 If #4 Sin City Glow can run bac...

Results Race 5 Del Mar -- no action

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Selected #5 Absolutely Smitten and #6 Shesalittlepistol and they finished first and second, but I couldn't bet either of them because th...
Saturday, July 19, 2008

Race 5 Del Mar -- MDN 25K - 6F - 3+

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Contenders--morning line #1 Warren's Cookie--5/1 #2 Best of Wishes--9/2 #3 Dice Afare--3/1 #5 Absolutely Smitten--7/2 #6 Shesalittlepist...
Thursday, July 17, 2008

Results Race 5 Del Mar -- lost $150

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Second-time starter #1 Miguel's Mascot hugged the rail while pressing the pace and ran away from the field. On the far turn, #12 Tactful...
Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Race 5 - Del Mar -- MSW -- 5.5fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #2 All Saint--20/1 #3 Donthaveatizzy--8/1 #5 High Way Sixty Six--8/1 #11 I Wanna Getaway--12/1 #12 Tactful--4/1 Fou...
Tuesday, July 8, 2008

Getting ready for Del Mar

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The Southern California circuit moves from Los Angeles to San Diego on July 16 and until then I will be catching up on record keeping. There...
2 comments:
Sunday, July 6, 2008

Results Race 11 Hollywood -- lost $200

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The #2 Hopehopehope won on her second start off a long layoff, but her price was a little out of the odds zone so I didn't bet her. I en...

Results Race 6 Hollywood -- lost $600

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Kept waiting for a big run to come from #4 Crash Landing, but it never happened. He went off at a good price and was in the perfect position...
Friday, July 4, 2008

Saturday-Race 11 Hollywood Park -MSW 3yos+ 1 1/6 miles on turf

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I don't usually handicap turf races, but I do have layoff information for horses going a route on turf so I concentrate only on that spe...

Saturday-Race 6 Hollywood Park - MSW, 3+ - 6Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #4 Crash Landing--5/2 #10 Ribald--7/2 This ten-horse race has six first-time starters, but two of the experienced h...

Results Race 2 Hollywood -- won $650

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Jockey Campos hustled #3 Salah Mrs. D from the gate to the lead and she held off a threat by #2 My Sister Laureen in the stretch. I probably...

Race 2 Hollywood -- MDN 40K, 3+ -- 5.5Fs

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Didn't have much time to look at the horses today, although there are many good races. But one horse jumps off the page and she is #3 Sa...
Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Results Race 8 Hollywood -- lost $500

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The Craig Dollase-trained first timer Lidstrom, #8, was bet down to 8/5 before he pressed the pace, took the lead at the top of the stretch ...

Results Race 6 Hollywood -- lost $650

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Unbelievably, Jack Van Berg did it again. Last week Van Berg saddled Cold Prince to a win at 9/2 in a 7F maiden claimer where he was rated w...

Results Race 3 Hollywood -- lost $100

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Stormy Inferno, #6, blasted to the lead and won easily. She was only 2/1 and needed to be 5/2 for my $200 bet. First-time starters #4 Kitty ...

Race 8 Hollywood Park -- MSW -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #3 Capital Cat--6/1 #5 Tudor Blue--6/1 #6 High Way Sixty Six--20/1 #7 The Unusual One--15/1 #8 Lindstrom--5/2 #1a M...

Race 6 Hollywood Park -- 40K, 3yo+, 6.5Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #4 Our Anastacia--12/1 #6 Enchanting Moment--5/2 #7 Deo Favente--4/1 #8 Halo's Clean Sheet--7/2 Horses who come...

Race 3 Hollywood -- 2yos -- 40K -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders -- Morning Line #4 Kitty Kat Queen--20/1 #6 Stormy Inferno--3/1 #7 Lady Schnapps--9/2 #8 Lovely Lolly--12/1 #10 Daniella Roth--6/...
Monday, June 30, 2008

Results Race 9 Hollywood -- won $2,580

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At the top of the stretch, #7 S.S. Stone was being squeezed between #4 Say It Again and #10 Del Conte, but jockey Rafael Bejarano found spac...

Results Race 6 Hollywood -- won $1,200

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Dropping into maiden claiming for the first time, #5 Ace High Hand showed his class by going to the lead early and never giving it up. I bet...

Results Race 4 Hollywood -- lost $700

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None of the first time starters ran early with Stormy Game so he breezed to an easy lead and had plenty left in the tank for the stretch. I...
Sunday, June 29, 2008

Race 9 Hollywood -- MSW -- 5.5Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #1 Massone--9/2 #6 Street Hero--12/1 #7 S.S. Stone--6/1 #9 Loyal Son--10/1 #10 Del Conte--8/1 #11 Nochangenweather-...

Race 6 Hollywood Park -- MDN $40K -- 7Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #1 Bigum--7/2 #2 Larrylarrylarry--20/1 #5 Ace High Hand--5/2 #7 Rare Chant--10/1 Although coming out of a route rac...

Race 4 Hollywood -- MDN 40K -- 6.5Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #2 Son of Dionisi--4/1 #4 Warren's Moonkross--3/1 #7 Warrington--5/1 #8 Stormy Game--5/2 Unless one of the thre...
Friday, June 27, 2008

Results Race 8 Hollywood -- lost $800

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Bet an army of first timers, but none of them fired. Ten Churros only ran for half of the race in his debut, but put it all together on Thur...

Results Race 4 Hollywood -- lost $1,000

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Wagered $650 on #5 Vanaldi and #350 on #1 Warren's Jack V., who were both beaten by late-runner #3 Cold Prince. Total bet--$1,000 Total ...
Thursday, June 26, 2008

Race 8 Hollywood -- MDN 40K -- 5Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #1 Miss Reyna--20/1 #3 Ten Churros--2/1 #4 Ammarie--20/1 #5 Yoursmyunanours--12/1 #6 Paradisi--8/1 #7 Grace Gryder-...

Race 4 Hollywood -- MDN 25K - 7Fs

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Contenders--Morning Line #1 Warren's Jack V.--5/1 #5 Vanaldi--5/2 Median winning Beyer Speed Figure - 74 Both of these horses have shown...

Results Race 8 Hollywood -- won $420

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Betting Results -- wagered $400 win on #5 Sorry Baby, $100 win on #6 Susan's Wildcat, $50 win on #6 Veranda Cafe and $50 win on #8 Evita...
Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Race 8 Hollywood MSW -- 2yo -- 5Fs

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Contenders------Morning Line #1 Lippy Rules--3/1 #2 Winning Dancer--20/1 #3 Mad For Candy--20/1 #4 Veranda Cafe--6/1 #5 Sorry Baby----8/1 #6...
Monday, June 23, 2008

Results Race 9 Hollywood

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9 Wendoffer 6.80 4.20 3.00 8 Victory Dancer 7.40 4.80 10 Steal My Charm 11.00
Sunday, June 22, 2008

Race 9 -- Hollywood -- MSW -- 5Fs

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Contenders #2 Tammy's Luck #4 Mischabel #7 Chilliwack #8 Victory Dancer #9 Wendoffer Many of these 2-year-old sprints...
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About Me

Maiden King
Many horseplayers look at a full field of 2-year-old maidens and, with such little information to go on, they get a headache and run straight for the aspirin bottle -- or worse yet, the whiskey bottle. They don't know where to start or what to do. But I've compiled information that is not found in the Daily Racing Form, so I can tell which first timers are worth wagering on, which speed horses will give you the best run for your money, and who's likely to come out smoking off a long layoff. I specialize in maiden sprint races on the Southern California main track. I use pace ratings, data bases, speed figures, profiles, models and race replays. All of my bets are made in the win pool using a value-based approach. Originally from Boston, Mass., I moved to Las Vegas in 1994. After earning a bachelor's degree in journalism from UMass-Amherst in 1990, I worked as a daily newspaper reporter in Fort Dodge, IA from 1992-94 and in San Diego, Calif. from 1995-96. I've been toiling in the Las Vegas race & sports books industry since 1996.
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