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Sunday, June 29, 2008

Race 4 Hollywood -- MDN 40K -- 6.5Fs

Contenders--Morning Line

#2 Son of Dionisi--4/1
#4 Warren's Moonkross--3/1
#7 Warrington--5/1
#8 Stormy Game--5/2

Unless one of the three first-time starters runs with #8 Stormy Game, he figures to get an easy lead without serious pressure developing until they reach the half mile. That's when #2 Son of Dionisi and #7 Warrington should be making their moves. In the stretch, #4 Warren's Moonkross has the best late run.

On June 8, #2 Son of Dionisi made a decent move on the turn while four paths wide. On that day, trainer Gary Mandella was brining him off a 16-month layoff so he probably wasn't at his best. This horse has promise because he ran an 81 Beyer Speed Figures in his debut, which is the best in this field.

On May 9, #7 Warrington showed decent early speed while running with a field of Maiden Special Weights, then was not asked in the stretch while running a 67 Beyer Speed Figure. I think he can run the 82 necessary to win this race.

Finally, #4 Warren's Moonkross was catching the leaders in the stretch last time when he lost by 3 lengths.

On the site, I will play $400 to win on the #7 Warrington at 3/1 or more and $300 on whoever goes off at a longer price between #2 Son of Dionisi and #4 Warren's Moonkross.

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