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Sunday, June 22, 2008

Race 9 -- Hollywood -- MSW -- 5Fs

Contenders

#2 Tammy's Luck
#4 Mischabel
#7 Chilliwack
#8 Victory Dancer
#9 Wendoffer

Many of these 2-year-old sprints are won by the horse who gets the early lead. On May 21, Mischabel and Wendoffer dueled with Mischabel caving in at the top of the stretch. Either of the two look like they will be ahead after a quarter mile, but Chilliwack could take over after a half mile.

Since none of those three have dominant speed, a good bet is #8 Victory Dancer. The Bob Baffert-trained filly has been working out well and records show that Bob is an excellent play with this type of horse. The Richard Matlow first timer #2 Tammy's Luck also has been strong in the morning and is an OK bet at 7/2 or better.

My plan is to play #8 Victory Dancer at 5/2 or more, but to reduce my bet if she is 10/1 or better. Depending on what Victory Dancer goes off at, I will choose a back-up horse among the remaining contenders based on their odds. I am leaning toward Tammy's Luck and Chilliwack.

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