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Friday, June 20, 2008

Race 8 Hollywood -- MDN25K -- 6F

Contenders

#1 Alotta Wild
#3 Freebiehadthemoves
#4 Mrs. Tiz
#6 Shesalittlepistol
#10 My Sister Laureen

Alotta Wild got slammed by another horse at the top of the stretch when she ran a 36 Beyer last time. But it didn't look like she was going to win anyway and jockey Joe Talamo is now riding layoff horse Shesalittlepistol. However, by duplicating any of her previous two races, Alotta Wild could win.

I think 5/2 would be a fair price.

I can't bet the first-time starters #2 Box Office Fever, #7 It's Time to Shine, or #11 She's Hot to Trot. But second timer Freebiehadthemoves #3 showed OK speed in her first race and the trainer's only two wins were apparently with horses running for the second time.

The odds on recent layoff horses Mrs. Tiz, #4, and Shesalittlepistol, #6, need to be between 2/1 and 10/1 before a profitable angle opens up.

The #10 My Sister Laureen has the best speed and she'd be a good bet at 5/1.

As I look at the toteboard with 16 minutes to post, Alotta Wild is being bet to 8/5 and My Sister Laureen is 3/1. The value looks like Freebiehadthemoves at 8/1, Mrs. Tiz and Shesalittlepistol, both at 6/1.

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