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Sunday, June 29, 2008

Race 9 Hollywood -- MSW -- 5.5Fs

Contenders--Morning Line

#1 Massone--9/2
#6 Street Hero--12/1
#7 S.S. Stone--6/1
#9 Loyal Son--10/1
#10 Del Conte--8/1
#11 Nochangenweather--5/1
#12 Speight the Halo--4/1

The early speed in here is #11 Nochangenweather who led for the first half of his last race before tiring to lose by 3. The owners paid $400,000 for this colt who was bet to 7/2 versus nine others in his debut and 4/1 also in a field of 10 in his second race. Should have the early lead, which is important in these races and 5/1 would be a good price. The Ron McAnally-trained Massone, #1, looked strong closing well once he got untracked in his debut.

Second-time starters trained by Richard Matlow and Bob Baffert always have to be considered. They are sending out #9 Loyal Son and #10 Del Conte respectively and either could dramatically improve to win this race.

Of the first timers running, the angles supporting #6 Street Hero and #7 S.S. Stone are stronger than those backing #5 Genki and #12 Speight the Halo. Any of them would be OK from 10/1 to 19/1, but I would bet much less on numbers 5 and 12.

On the site, I will bet $200 to win on numbers #6 Street Hero and #7 S.S. Stone at 7/2 to 19/1. I will also bet $200 on #11 Nochangenweather if he's 5/1 or more. If not, then I'll bet $100 on #9 Loyal Son and $100 on #10 Del Conte, provided they are each 8/1 or greater.

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